The Next Youngstown Could Be an AI Casualty

technology

Youngstown, Ohio, shows what happens when economic upheaval hits a community faster than it can adapt, and artificial intelligence is setting up the next one.

The steel city's fall began on Black Monday in 1977, when Youngstown Sheet & Tube shut its Campbell Works and erased thousands of jobs overnight. Tens of thousands more vanished in the years that followed, and a population once above 120,000 shrank to fewer than 60,000. Nationally, the math looked like progress: cheaper steel made automakers more profitable, consumers paid less, and new industries rose elsewhere. But the losses were not spread across the country. They fell hard on specific workers, families, and neighborhoods that never fully recovered.

Artificial intelligence threatens a repeat. As AI reshapes customer service, accounting, software, legal support, and insurance processing, the hardest hit will be places where those jobs cluster. Smaller metro areas such as Laramie, Wyoming, Huntsville, Texas, and Stillwater, Oklahoma, hold the greatest concentration of exposed workers, while regions like Trenton-Princeton in New Jersey and State College, Pennsylvania, rank among the most vulnerable.

New jobs and industries will likely emerge, and national employment figures may hold steady. The problem is that the workers who lose out cannot always follow the opportunities. Mortgages, aging parents, children in school, and decades of specialized skills keep many rooted in place, and labor markets adjust far faster than communities do. When a dominant industry disappears, what is lost goes beyond paychecks to tax revenue, local businesses, and a shared sense of the future.

Youngstown's slow recovery carries the lesson. Rebuilding took decades and depended on sustained cooperation among businesses, government, universities, nonprofits, and civic leaders, not on market forces alone. The goal is not to slow AI, but to decide now, before it reshapes the economy, whether the communities that bear its costs will get a real chance to share in its gains.